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Red54
87629.0
460722.9
223910.3
Blue74
472820.4
16723.9
534817.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6867506080905474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#6
29.00.4
29.629.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End11.5
red by 5.0
167
#4
23.90.0
24.324.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End9.4
Second
22.90.4
23.523.1
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End9.3
red by 2.5
20.40.0
20.820.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End5.8
Third
2239
#33
10.30.4
10.910.5
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End5.6
blue by 7.2
5348
#36
17.50.0
17.917.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.2