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Red60
427715.5
214326.6
181621.1
Blue53
384817.4
304219.1
361015.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484102060801006053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#11
26.61.3
14.716.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 7.5
3042
#18
19.11.0
17.218.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End6.8
Second
21.10.8
17.318.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End10.2
red by 3.7
3848
#26
17.41.5
9.510.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End6.7
Third
4277
#23
15.51.3
12.013.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End4.9
Level
3610
#19
15.61.5
13.114.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned