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Red63
466321.7
250919.0
388327.7
Blue68
249118.3
327627.2
257420.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626140507080906368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#10
27.70.1
23.723.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End11.2
red by 0.5
27.20.6
23.624.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End10.2
Second
4663
#14
21.70.1
19.419.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End12.2
red by 1.1
20.60.6
17.818.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.9
Third
19.00.2
13.814.0
Auto8.7
Teleop4.3
End6.1
red by 0.7
2491
#12
18.30.6
17.117.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned