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Red34
45498.4
251211.5
384817.4
Blue45
604510.5
421514.4
217717.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374610203050607080903445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3848
#26
17.40.2
10.910.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End6.7
blue by 0.1
2177
#30
17.50.2
17.317.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Second
2512
#43
11.50.1
11.911.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 2.9
4215
#22
14.40.4
14.114.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
4549
#53
8.40.1
13.213.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End3.6
blue by 2.1
6045
#48
10.50.4
10.410.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed