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Red72
392617.1
288331.2
562613.9
Blue65
214326.6
254921.0
42257.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654402060801007265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#20
31.20.4
30.931.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.5
End9.0
red by 4.7
2143
#11
26.62.3
16.018.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Second
3926
#15
17.10.4
14.815.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End4.0
blue by 3.9
2549
#33
21.01.4
18.720.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Third
5626
#32
13.90.6
12.813.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
red by 6.4
4225
#52
7.52.3
9.311.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned