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Red38
52719.4
604510.5
249118.3
Blue41
257420.6
22079.7
427715.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394802060803841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#12
18.30.2
17.717.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End8.4
blue by 2.3
20.60.2
18.418.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.9
Second
6045
#48
10.50.4
10.710.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
blue by 5.0
4277
#23
15.50.3
13.313.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End4.9
Third
5271
#37
9.40.4
9.38.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End3.0
blue by 0.4
2207
#21
9.70.3
12.311.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned