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Red31
327627.2
251211.5
46488.8
Blue52
22079.7
562613.9
222719.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5144102030406070803152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.21.0
25.324.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End10.2
red by 7.5
2227
#24
19.70.4
18.118.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End7.5
Second
2512
#43
11.51.0
11.910.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 2.4
5626
#32
13.90.7
11.812.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
Third
4648
#49
8.81.7
9.57.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.7
blue by 0.9
2207
#21
9.70.7
12.012.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned