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Red50
247216.9
298728.0
300716.4
Blue75
288331.2
527517.9
257420.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34680204060801001205075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.2
15.616.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End7.7
blue by 3.2
2883
#20
31.20.9
30.531.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.5
End9.0
Second
2472
#34
16.91.5
9.611.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End6.8
blue by 3.7
20.60.9
13.414.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.9
Third
3007
#31
16.41.5
11.112.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End6.7
blue by 1.6
5275
#35
17.90.9
15.516.3
Auto7.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned