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Red39
304219.1
604510.5
222512.8
Blue55
674919.8
361015.6
212914.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424402060801003955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#18
19.10.3
18.718.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End6.8
blue by 0.7
6749
#29
19.81.1
17.818.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End11.7
Second
2225
#45
12.80.5
10.610.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 2.8
3610
#19
15.61.1
12.813.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End5.5
Third
6045
#48
10.50.5
10.59.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
blue by 3.7
2129
#25
14.30.6
10.711.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned