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Red76
257420.6
392617.1
392827.6
Blue59
46935.5
546426.0
727310.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6539020801001207659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.4
24.625.1
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
red by 1.7
26.01.0
23.224.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End10.8
Second
20.60.4
17.517.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.9
red by 9.7
7273
#51
10.91.5
12.313.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End5.7
Third
3926
#15
17.10.4
15.616.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End4.0
red by 11.6
4693
#50
5.51.5
4.86.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned