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Red54
254921.0
320621.6
251211.5
Blue48
260612.7
417413.3
222719.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56452040801005448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#28
21.60.2
20.220.4
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End2.9
red by 1.9
2227
#24
19.70.3
18.518.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End7.5
Second
2549
#33
21.00.2
20.320.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End7.3
red by 7.7
4174
#46
13.30.5
12.813.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.1
Third
2512
#43
11.50.2
10.911.1
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 1.1
2606
#40
12.70.5
12.112.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsEarned