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Red39
245010.9
421514.4
222512.8
Blue62
313023.1
388327.7
46935.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962020801001203962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4215
#22
14.40.0
16.116.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 13.3
3883
#10
27.70.5
26.126.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End11.2
Second
2225
#45
12.80.0
11.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 10.3
3130
#16
23.10.5
22.523.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End5.4
Third
2450
#42
10.90.0
11.911.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End8.4
red by 5.4
4693
#50
5.50.7
6.37.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned