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Red38
251211.5
527517.9
52719.4
Blue48
392617.1
46488.8
361015.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141363840424446483848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#35
17.90.1
18.318.2
Auto7.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
red by 0.8
3926
#15
17.10.6
16.016.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Second
2512
#43
11.50.1
11.111.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 4.0
3610
#19
15.60.9
14.815.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End5.5
Third
5271
#37
9.40.1
9.59.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End3.0
red by 0.5
4648
#49
8.80.9
7.98.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed