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Red62
249118.3
392617.1
251211.5
Blue45
313023.1
45498.4
563819.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48562040801006245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#12
18.30.5
18.819.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End8.4
blue by 4.7
3130
#16
23.10.5
23.022.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End5.4
Second
3926
#15
17.10.5
16.617.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End4.0
blue by 1.9
5638
#17
19.00.6
19.919.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Third
2512
#43
11.50.5
11.011.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.4
red by 3.1
4549
#53
8.40.5
8.98.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed