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Red66
320621.6
257420.6
217511.3
Blue45
527517.9
562613.9
46488.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55422060801006645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#28
21.60.8
20.321.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End2.9
red by 3.7
5275
#35
17.90.0
18.218.2
Auto7.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
Second
20.60.8
19.220.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.9
red by 6.7
5626
#32
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
Third
2175
#36
11.30.8
10.511.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End4.7
red by 2.5
4648
#49
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed