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Red55
250919.0
22079.7
288331.2
Blue65
361015.6
265423.5
392827.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6672204060801001205565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#20
31.21.3
31.430.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.5
End9.0
red by 3.6
27.60.1
26.526.4
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Second
19.01.8
20.218.4
Auto8.7
Teleop4.3
End6.1
blue by 4.5
2654
#13
23.50.1
24.624.5
Auto8.0
Teleop6.1
End9.4
Third
2207
#21
9.71.6
11.49.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End2.3
blue by 5.8
3610
#19
15.60.2
15.715.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsMissed