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Red128
363036.8
220245.6
851618.2
Blue100
702841.9
205242.5
308218.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051100200300400500128100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.4
45.245.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.2
End7.8
red by 3.0
42.50.1
42.642.5
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End8.8
Second
36.80.4
36.536.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.3
End9.2
blue by 5.1
41.90.1
42.041.9
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End5.2
Third
8516
#37
18.20.5
17.718.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End8.1
red by 0.2
3082
#30
18.10.1
18.118.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End5.5