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Red118
702841.9
205242.5
308218.1
Blue93
419828.2
301827.0
420722.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11278406010012014016011893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.3
41.942.2
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End8.8
red by 14.4
4198
#12
28.20.2
28.228.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Second
41.90.3
41.341.6
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End5.2
red by 14.9
3018
#11
27.00.2
27.027.2
Auto10.8
Teleop7.2
End9.0
Third
3082
#30
18.10.4
17.317.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End5.5
blue by 3.9
4207
#15
22.00.2
22.022.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.7