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Red78
287913.3
420722.0
52533.0
Blue68
253019.6
205242.5
34075.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505430406070807868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#5
33.01.2
23.825.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End8.5
blue by 9.5
42.51.6
31.833.4
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End8.8
Second
4207
#15
22.02.1
11.413.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.7
red by 2.3
2530
#19
19.62.0
11.213.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Third
2879
#21
13.32.1
12.314.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End3.4
red by 7.7
3407
#48
5.72.0
7.39.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed