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Red95
250227.4
453923.8
301827.0
Blue103
369113.8
419828.2
220245.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567120408010012095103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#18
27.43.0
16.919.9
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End7.9
blue by 18.1
45.62.3
30.332.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.2
End7.8
Second
3018
#11
27.04.1
14.318.4
Auto10.8
Teleop7.2
End9.0
blue by 1.1
4198
#12
28.22.5
24.426.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Third
4539
#28
23.82.7
23.125.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End5.5
red by 10.0
3691
#41
13.83.8
10.314.1
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned