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Red45
287913.3
703812.5
284613.6
Blue31
725716.7
706820.8
249814.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36401020305060704531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#32
13.60.5
11.712.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End6.9
blue by 7.2
7068
#14Sur
20.80.4
19.218.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
Second
2879
#21Sur
13.30.7
14.315.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End3.4
blue by 3.3
7257
#45
16.70.6
10.09.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End6.8
Third
7038
#27
12.50.4
8.38.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End4.4
blue by 2.2
2498
#38
14.70.6
7.66.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed