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Red56
303816.4
453923.8
369113.8
Blue73
52998.0
52533.0
302321.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57533040607080901005673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#28
23.81.4
25.824.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End5.5
blue by 9.2
525
#5
33.01.2
25.026.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End8.5
Second
3038
#22
16.42.3
12.810.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End6.6
blue by 5.5
3023
#23
21.81.4
17.518.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Third
3691
#41
13.82.3
14.111.8
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
red by 5.7
5299
#47
8.02.1
7.79.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned