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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254406080100938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#36
9.41.8
9.07.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
blue by 18.7
4198
#12
28.20.3
26.926.6
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Second
3278
#44
8.41.8
7.75.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.0
red by 3.9
2513
#52
4.40.5
6.45.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.5
End-0.7
Third
7850
#55
4.21.8
8.87.0
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End0.5
red by 0.7
7849
#53
3.50.5
5.44.9
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed