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Red62
216930.5
38718.1
363036.8
Blue78
250227.4
420722.0
327720.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77532040601001201406278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.5
33.633.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.3
End9.2
red by 9.4
2502
#18
27.41.7
20.622.3
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End7.9
Second
30.50.5
26.526.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End11.8
red by 8.6
4207
#15
22.02.8
14.016.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.7
Third
3871
#50
8.10.8
9.48.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End2.6
blue by 12.4
3277
#13
20.51.7
18.119.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned