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Red57
250817.5
345416.7
462422.6
Blue43
422911.5
419828.2
308218.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652203040607080905743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.9
19.620.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End4.3
blue by 5.6
4198
#12
28.21.1
26.625.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Second
2508
#24
17.50.9
16.217.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.2
End11.0
blue by 0.6
3082
#30
18.11.9
15.113.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End5.5
Third
3454
#29
16.71.4
8.39.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End4.2
red by 5.2
4229
#43
11.51.9
6.54.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed