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Red34
477815.9
249814.7
422911.5
Blue107
419828.2
320216.5
250227.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1671040608010012014034107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#25
15.90.8
12.012.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End5.3
blue by 12.2
4198
#12
28.23.2
25.528.6
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Second
2498
#38
14.71.3
5.66.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.9
blue by 12.8
2502
#18
27.43.2
22.325.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End7.9
Third
4229
#43
11.51.3
4.65.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.6
blue by 5.0
3202
#31
16.55.3
11.616.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsEarned