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Red40
55414.6
703812.5
420722.0
Blue28
599611.7
218110.2
419828.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345802040801001204028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#15
22.00.6
15.416.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.7
blue by 6.2
4198
#12
28.21.8
28.626.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Second
7038
#27
12.50.3
12.713.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End4.4
red by 0.8
5996
#33
11.73.0
11.78.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Third
5541
#49
4.60.6
6.77.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 5.6
2181
#39
10.23.0
11.18.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed