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Red51
287913.3
463210.2
301827.0
Blue47
462422.6
32788.4
422911.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473802060801005147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3018
#11
27.00.9
19.220.1
Auto10.8
Teleop7.2
End9.0
red by 4.5
22.60.7
20.421.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Second
2879
#21
13.30.9
13.013.9
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End3.4
red by 1.8
4229
#43
11.51.1
5.97.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Third
4632
#40
10.20.9
10.611.5
Auto6.5
Teleop0.7
End3.1
red by 1.9
3278
#44
8.41.1
10.511.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed