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Red90
702841.9
253019.6
419828.2
Blue46
851618.2
706820.8
218110.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98390501509046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.4
41.341.7
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End5.2
red by 21.1
7068
#14
20.80.1
20.921.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
Second
4198
#12
28.20.4
26.827.2
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
red by 9.9
8516
#37
18.20.2
15.015.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End8.1
Third
2530
#19
19.60.6
16.116.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
red by 9.4
2181
#39
10.20.2
8.18.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned