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Red40
34075.7
422911.5
725716.7
Blue64
32788.4
226425.4
302624.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226804060801001204064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#45
16.70.6
11.011.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End6.8
blue by 8.7
2264
#20
25.40.4
25.926.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.6
End9.8
Second
4229
#43
11.50.6
7.07.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.6
blue by 13.0
3026
#10
24.50.4
20.120.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End11.8
Third
3407
#48
5.70.6
8.38.9
Auto0.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 2.7
3278
#44
8.40.7
11.712.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsEarned