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Red44
25188.1
369113.8
302321.8
Blue68
363036.8
87877.3
287913.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445820801004468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3023
#23
21.80.1
19.819.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1
blue by 15.0
36.81.0
30.931.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.3
End9.2
Second
3691
#41
13.80.1
14.514.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
red by 0.4
2879
#21
13.31.7
13.915.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End3.4
Third
2518
#54
8.10.1
8.78.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End0.1
red by 0.8
8787
#42
7.31.7
7.59.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed