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Red51
38718.1
706820.8
477815.9
Blue8
52998.0
218110.2
78493.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5115020406080100518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7068
#14
20.80.0
21.121.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
red by 10.6
2181
#39
10.21.5
8.36.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Second
4778
#25
15.90.0
14.814.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End5.3
red by 7.9
5299
#47
8.01.5
6.65.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.3
Third
3871
#50
8.10.1
7.77.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End2.6
red by 4.5
7849
#53
3.51.5
3.62.1
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed