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Red48
419828.2
284613.6
46645.6
Blue67
302624.5
453612.1
303816.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515030406070804867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#12
28.20.1
28.128.2
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
red by 3.7
3026
#10
24.51.3
22.924.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End11.8
Second
2846
#32
13.60.1
13.513.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End6.9
blue by 2.8
3038
#22
16.41.7
14.716.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End6.6
Third
4664
#51
5.60.1
5.65.6
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 6.4
4536
#16
12.11.7
10.412.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned