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Red29
250817.5
34075.7
287913.3
Blue52
453923.8
327720.5
706820.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3581020601001201402952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2508
#24
17.50.7
18.117.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.2
End11.0
blue by 6.3
4539
#28
23.81.2
25.624.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End5.5
Second
2879
#21
13.30.8
14.113.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End3.4
blue by 7.5
7068
#14
20.81.2
22.221.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
Third
3407
#48
5.70.9
6.55.7
Auto0.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 14.8
3277
#13
20.51.2
22.321.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsMissed