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Red124
702841.9
205242.5
308218.1
Blue63
250227.4
302624.5
302321.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11574406010014016012463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.4
42.542.9
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End8.8
red by 15.1
2502
#18
27.40.3
27.827.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End7.9
Second
41.90.4
41.942.3
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End5.2
red by 17.4
3026
#10
24.50.3
24.824.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End11.8
Third
3082
#30
18.10.5
18.118.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End5.5
blue by 3.8
3023
#23
21.80.3
22.221.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1