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Red34
78501.8
205234.6
181616.3
Blue26
298727.0
527511.3
851620.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6175020401001203426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.7
38.636.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End9.1
red by 7.6
27.02.8
30.027.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End10.0
Second
1816
#14
16.31.7
18.116.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End6.2
blue by 3.8
8516
#15
20.12.8
21.818.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End7.7
Third
7850
#18
1.81.7
2.81.1
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End-0.9
blue by 9.5
5275
#23
11.32.8
16.613.8
Auto5.2
Teleop0.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsMissed