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Red16
99972.5
392611.6
217710.9
Blue41
34075.0
563816.5
28469.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373002060801001201641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3926
#36
11.61.2
16.515.3
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End1.9
blue by 4.9
16.50.8
15.816.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Second
2177
#28
10.91.2
13.312.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End1.6
red by 1.3
2846
#25
9.70.8
11.512.2
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End7.6
Third
9997
#31
2.52.0
4.02.0
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.3
End2.8
blue by 2.5
3407
#22
5.00.8
2.12.9
Auto0.3
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned