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Red29
253013.2
99972.5
48597.8
Blue38
419821.4
247213.2
78501.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1937060801001202938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#21
13.20.5
13.313.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End5.2
blue by 8.2
4198
#13
21.40.4
20.120.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End8.1
Second
4859
#16
7.80.5
5.96.4
Auto3.5
Teleop0.4
End3.9
blue by 5.4
13.20.4
12.112.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.0
End8.4
Third
9997
#31
2.50.9
1.92.8
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.3
End2.8
red by 0.7
7850
#18
1.80.4
0.50.8
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned