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Red16
345412.9
28469.7
313022.2
Blue47
205234.6
266713.8
42295.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496402040801001201401601647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.22.1
21.419.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.7
End4.5
blue by 12.4
34.60.7
36.435.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End9.1
Second
3454
#30
12.92.1
15.313.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End2.1
blue by 0.9
2667
#20
13.80.7
14.313.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End8.2
Third
2846
#25
9.72.1
10.98.8
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End7.6
red by 4.6
4229
#29
5.10.7
7.36.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned