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Red83
460733.0
217710.9
205234.6
Blue24
99972.5
453610.1
345412.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961304060801201401608324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.2
35.735.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End9.1
red by 21.7
3454
#30
12.90.2
13.212.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Second
33.00.2
32.532.7
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End8.2
red by 22.9
4536
#26
10.10.2
11.511.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End4.9
Third
2177
#28
10.90.2
11.611.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End1.6
red by 8.5
9997
#31
2.50.4
2.82.4
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed