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Red50
527511.3
247213.2
702836.9
Blue34
212910.5
38716.7
253121.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684102060801001205034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.7
36.035.3
Auto12.1
Teleop21.1
End3.7
red by 15.9
2531
#12
21.00.5
21.921.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End12.6
Second
13.20.7
13.012.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.0
End8.4
red by 2.7
2129
#34
10.50.5
11.511.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End3.3
Third
5275
#23
11.30.7
11.811.1
Auto5.2
Teleop0.5
End5.6
red by 4.6
3871
#27
6.70.5
8.58.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed