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Red35
247213.2
42295.1
253121.0
Blue25
392611.6
453610.1
82349.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6036020801001203525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#12
21.01.2
25.023.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End12.6
red by 9.4
3926
#36
11.60.8
17.116.3
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Second
13.21.5
16.915.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.0
End8.4
red by 3.2
4536
#26
10.11.0
12.111.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End4.9
Third
4229
#29
5.11.5
11.510.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 4.7
8234
#19
9.81.0
7.86.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed