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Red22
181616.3
420714.3
250223.8
Blue52
318431.7
78501.8
266713.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855601001502252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#10
23.83.6
33.429.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End7.1
blue by 7.9
31.70.3
36.135.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End9.1
Second
1816
#14
16.33.6
21.618.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End6.2
red by 2.5
2667
#20
13.80.3
16.716.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End8.2
Third
4207
#17
14.34.4
20.716.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End6.4
red by 12.5
7850
#18
1.80.3
3.02.8
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned