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Red78
181624.6
400925.9
223924.7
Blue79
472830.2
329324.2
222022.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82770501001502007879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#12
25.90.1
24.524.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End6.9
blue by 4.3
4728
#15
30.20.4
30.931.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End11.3
Second
2239
#34
24.70.1
25.425.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End9.1
red by 0.5
3293
#19
24.20.5
21.722.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End7.1
Third
1816
#29
24.60.1
26.626.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End9.9
red by 1.8
22.80.4
20.220.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned