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Red98
517248.4
591338.7
284722.9
Blue117
288333.6
363040.7
205244.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11613140608010014016018020098117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.41.4
49.047.6
Auto12.3
Teleop29.8
End6.3
red by 3.9
44.50.6
46.445.9
Auto10.2
Teleop23.6
End10.6
Second
5913
#18
38.71.4
38.236.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End6.2
blue by 2.0
40.70.6
40.640.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End8.5
Third
2847
#22
22.91.7
23.822.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.6
blue by 10.7
2883
#23
33.60.6
34.433.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsEarned