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Red92
517248.4
308222.7
569025.8
Blue97
388327.2
591338.7
674917.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9984501509297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.2
47.647.4
Auto12.3
Teleop29.8
End6.3
red by 9.7
5913
#18
38.70.8
36.837.6
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End6.2
Second
5690
#28
25.80.2
24.824.6
Auto9.8
Teleop11.0
End5.1
blue by 1.3
3883
#25
27.20.8
26.927.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End10.8
Third
22.70.2
19.118.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End8.4
red by 5.0
6749
#30
17.70.8
17.518.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned