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Red70
284722.9
388327.2
400925.9
Blue92
216930.7
460735.9
250318.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809540601201401607092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#25
27.20.7
28.427.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End10.8
blue by 8.7
4607
#10
35.90.2
37.337.1
Auto10.6
Teleop16.5
End8.8
Second
4009
#12
25.90.7
25.124.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End6.9
blue by 4.8
2169
#16
30.70.2
31.831.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End11.9
Third
2847
#22
22.90.7
23.422.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.6
red by 4.0
2503
#31
18.90.2
18.518.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsMissed83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned