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Red113
591338.7
400925.9
851625.3
Blue71
284722.9
565319.9
223924.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9567020408012014016011371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#18
38.71.5
37.739.2
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End6.2
red by 14.0
2239
#34
24.70.3
24.424.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End9.1
Second
4009
#12
25.91.5
24.325.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End6.9
red by 3.0
2847
#22
22.90.3
22.622.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.6
Third
8516
#13
25.31.5
23.825.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End8.5
red by 5.4
5653
#36
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned