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Red118
205244.5
363040.7
472830.2
Blue105
702838.7
250236.6
288333.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611750100150200118105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.0
45.145.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.6
End10.6
red by 5.7
7028
#11
38.70.2
39.539.3
Auto11.3
Teleop22.4
End5.0
Second
40.70.0
41.341.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End8.5
red by 4.1
36.60.2
37.437.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End10.6
Third
4728
#15
30.20.0
30.930.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End11.3
blue by 3.4
2883
#23
33.60.2
34.434.2
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End7.5