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Red69
591338.7
282330.7
249123.1
Blue74
460735.9
517248.4
181624.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971214060801401601806974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#18
38.70.6
39.338.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End6.2
blue by 9.7
48.40.8
49.048.2
Auto12.3
Teleop29.8
End6.3
Second
30.70.6
31.330.7
Auto8.9
Teleop14.1
End7.7
blue by 5.2
4607
#10
35.90.8
36.535.7
Auto10.6
Teleop16.5
End8.8
Third
2491
#26
23.10.6
23.723.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End10.4
blue by 1.5
1816
#29
24.60.8
25.324.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End9.9